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"What if
it's cloudy?"
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Yes, a thwarted view would be disappointing, but...
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Several webcasts will cover the event...
You can still experience the transit of Venus in real
time. Lists
of sites providing transit of Venus webcasts are at http://www.vt-2004.org/central/cd-links/
(European Southern Observatory) and at http://www.xs4all.nl/~carlkop/venus/transit.html
(Astronet). |
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You could make a roadtrip to Mishawaka...
The weather forecast is favorable in northwest Indiana, USA, as of
Monday, June 7, less than 24 hours before the 2004 transit of Venus. Celebrations
include the Transit of Venus planetarium program, webcasts from
Greece, transit of Venus artifacts on display, telescopes with solar filters
available for the public, free Eclipse Shades, and more.
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There is historical precedence for failure...
Many
global expeditions failed due to poor weather. Consider
Henry A. Severn, pictured at left in New Zealand. The article notes,
"Mr. Severn's very complete and skilful arrangements were
unfortunately defeated by cloudy weather occurring at the time of the
transit. Our readers will probably find it easier to sympathise with
his disappointment than to realise his feelings on seeing the labour and
preparation of years thus rendered useless by circumstances far beyond his
own control. Well might he exclaim, 'L'homme propose--Dieu
dispose.'"
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There's always Le Gentil...
Thwarted by the Seven Years War from seeing the 1761 transit of Venus, Le
Gentil waited eight years overseas to see the 1769 transit from seemingly
idyllic Pondicherry, India. Le
Gentil writes, "During the whole month of May until the third of
June, the mornings were very beautiful; the weather was still of
this same fineness the day before [the June 4th
transit]."
To his dismay, on the morning of the 1769 transit, clouds rolled in and the
wind blew with fury.
"That is the fate which often awaits astronomers. I had gone
more than ten thousand leagues; it seemed that I had crossed such a great
expanse of seas, exiling myself from my native land, only to be the
spectator of a fatal cloud which came to place itself before the sun
at the precise moment of my observation, to carry off from the the fruits
of my pains and of my fatigues...
Image courtesy of University
of Oklahoma Libraries, History of Science Collection
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If this image from the frontispiece of his memoirs is of Le
Gentil himself, one can understand why he looks so glum.
Image courtesy of University
of Oklahoma Libraries, History of Science Collection |
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Good weather doesn't insure total success...
William Crabtree, who with Jeremiah Horrocks saw the the transit in
1639, was allegedly so overcome with emotion that he failed to record part
of the transit. |
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And American astronomer David Rittenhouse allegedly passed
out for six minutes, missing crucial data. |
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(Click for large image)
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Consider the fate of James Higham...
At
St. Michael Church in Hoole, England, "in the East Window there are two references to the Transit
of Venus in the shape of roundels. The uppermost one represents the
Sun with the Zodiac sign for the planet Venus superimposed on it.
The lower one is an artist’s impression of Horrocks observing the 1639
Transit."
"The 1874 Transit was commemorated by a roundel in the window near the
pulpit. This depicts a telescope standing on a bible and prayer
book." (http://www.hoolecechurch.org.uk/church.htm)
Imagine the anticipation of the local residents in 1874 as the transit
neared. Yet poor James Higham, whose tombstone behind the church
appears in the foreground of the picture at left, died November 26, 1874, just
days before the December 9, 1874 transit.
(Note: I have to confirm whether the dates were in the Old Style
calendar.)
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Consider Jean-Baptiste
Chappe d'Auteroche...
Jean-Baptiste
Chappe d'Auteroche arrived at his destination near San Jose del Cabo in the
midst of a raging epidemic. Three fourths of the local population
and all but two people from his expedition soon died from the
disease. Just weeks after the transit, Chappe succumbed as
well. (Source: The Transit of Venus: The Quest to Find the True Distance of the
Sun, by David Sellers) |
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If you miss the 2004 transit, the next transit of Venus will be in 2012... |
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